What a threshold is meant to do
A free shipping threshold is a trading rule: the customer pays the standard delivery charge below a stated order value, and the store absorbs it above that value. It is not a blanket discount applied to every order. For a motorcycle gear store, that distinction matters because shipping cost follows the order, while product margin varies between helmets, jackets, gloves and accessories.
The rule changes both sides of the order economics. Suppose delivery costs $12 and a customer has $180 of gear in the cart. If they add a $25 accessory to reach a $200 threshold, the store gains $25 in sales but also gives up the $12 delivery charge. The relevant question is whether the added gross profit covers that cost, plus any increase in returns, payment fees or fulfilment effort.
A threshold can therefore pursue two different goals. A delivery-conversion goal asks whether removing a visible shipping charge helps more shoppers complete checkout. A profitability goal asks whether the resulting orders produce enough profit after product cost and delivery cost. More completed checkouts do not automatically mean more profitable trading, especially when customers qualify with low-margin products.
| Goal | Measure it for | Act on it when |
|---|---|---|
| Delivery conversion | Checkout completion and the number of orders lost after shipping is shown | Shipping friction appears to be preventing otherwise viable purchases |
| Profitability | Gross profit and profit per delivered order after absorbing eligible delivery costs | The rule increases order value without eroding the profit those orders generate |
Choose the measure before the number
Order value is the simplest measure: the customer qualifies when the cart reaches a stated dollar amount. Use it when the main objective is to increase basket size and delivery cost is relatively consistent across orders. It is easy to explain, but it does not show whether the extra sale pays for the shipping you absorb. Set and compare thresholds on a consistent GST basis; New Zealand GST is charged at 15% (Inland Revenue, GST) (Source: Inland Revenue (Te Tari Taake)).
Contribution after delivery is the safer operating measure. Calculate realized revenue less product cost and the delivery cost paid by the store. For illustration only, a $220 order with $120 of product cost and $18 delivery leaves $82 before other variable costs. Act on this measure when freight varies by parcel size, destination or product mix, because an order-value threshold can look healthy while delivery removes the margin.
Gross margin measures revenue less product cost as a percentage of revenue. Use it to identify whether low-margin helmets, apparel or accessories need a different threshold or exclusion. Act when baskets with acceptable order values still contain too little product margin. Gross margin is useful for assortment decisions, but it excludes delivery, payment costs and other order-level costs.
Cash contribution is the dollar amount left after the variable costs relevant to the decision, such as product cost, absorbed delivery, payment fees and advertising. Use it when preserving cash matters more than reporting a clean margin percentage. ORVX can calculate delivered-order revenue, product cost, margins and contribution after advertising at product and collection level. Compare the measures in a product pricing calculator before choosing which one controls the threshold.
| Measure | Use it for | Act on it when |
|---|---|---|
| Order value | A simple, customer-facing basket rule | The goal is larger baskets and delivery cost is consistent |
| Contribution after delivery | Testing whether free delivery is funded by the order | Freight cost varies or delivery is the main risk |
| Gross margin | Checking product and assortment economics | Low-margin products weaken otherwise large baskets |
| Cash contribution | Protecting cash after relevant variable costs | Fees, advertising or tight cash flow materially affect the decision |
Worked example with sample numbers
This example is illustrative. It uses sample numbers for a motorcycle gear store selling in New Zealand. They are made up to show the method, they are not a benchmark, and your own figures will differ.
Formula: Lowest safe basket = (delivery + packing + fixed fee) / (gross margin rate - percentage fee - minimum margin you will accept).
| Basket without tax | Margin before delivery | After absorbing delivery | Share of basket |
|---|---|---|---|
| NZ$81.52 | NZ$37.37 | NZ$19.86 | 24.4% |
| NZ$108.69 | NZ$49.99 | NZ$32.47 | 29.9% |
| NZ$163.03 | NZ$75.22 | NZ$57.71 | 35.4% |
| NZ$217.37 | NZ$100.45 | NZ$82.94 | 38.2% |
Run the same sum with your own numbers in the free calculator, or browse guides for sellers in New Zealand and more motorcycle gear guides.
General information only: tax, duty and import rules change and depend on your situation, so check with an accountant or the official source before acting.
Eligible Shopify stores can see these numbers for their own store through the Founding 10,000 offer.
Finding the lowest safe threshold
Start with the contribution left by a qualifying order, not the average delivery charge. Gather product cost, payment-processing fees, packaging, the discount likely to be used, expected refund or return cost, and the delivery cost for each New Zealand region you serve. Include pick-and-pack labour if it is a real incremental cost. If customer-facing prices include GST, convert them consistently before testing margin: New Zealand GST is 15%, according to Inland Revenue (Te Tari Taake) (GST).
Calculate the result for several basket values around the proposed threshold. For each, subtract product cost, payment fee, packaging, discount, expected return exposure and free-shipping cost from net sales. The lowest safe threshold is the smallest value that still meets your intended contribution after these deductions. Test regional delivery separately; use the cost of the most expensive region included in the offer, or exclude that region with a clearly stated rule. A national average can make a threshold look safe while remote orders lose money.
Use delivered orders for validation, because cancelled and returned orders should not count as realized revenue. ORVX can calculate product costs, profitability and return rates from your Shopify data; the product pricing calculator can provide a separate threshold check.
- Safe threshold test: net sales − product cost − payment fees − packaging − discounts − expected return cost − delivery cost ≥ required contribution.
Items that lift the basket
Use the cart gap to guide the recommendation. If a rider has $168 of suitable gear and the free-shipping threshold is $199, show relevant options around the $31 gap, not a random high-margin item. A visor, Pinlock insert, spare gloves, chain lubricant or waterproofing treatment may fit; confirm helmet model, bike compatibility, sizing and intended use first.
Build combinations around the job the customer is already solving. A jacket can pair with matching trousers, a helmet with a compatible visor or intercom, and riding boots with replacement laces or care products. Consumables and replacement parts can lift a basket without encouraging unnecessary upgrades, but only display them when fitment and stock status are reliable.
Protect the threshold from discount-led volume. A $35 accessory with $12 product cost adds $23 before payment, packaging and shipping costs; discounting it by $10 leaves $13. Compare that incremental contribution by product and collection, including advertising effects, rather than choosing the item with the highest selling price. ORVX reports product-level profitability and contribution after advertising, which helps separate a useful basket lift from a margin-destructive upsell.
Measuring the result
Measure the threshold against a comparable baseline, not revenue alone. Compare a period before and after the change, or test eligible traffic against a control group where possible. Keep the same attribution window and separate new from returning customers; a higher average order value from repeat riders may not show whether the threshold changed first purchases.
Use delivered orders for the financial result. Exclude cancelled and returned orders from realised revenue, then assess return rate and refund value separately. Product mix also matters: a threshold can raise order value while shifting customers toward lower-margin accessories.
- Qualification rate: use it to check whether the threshold is reachable. If few carts qualify, lower the threshold or improve the cart-gap recommendations.
- Average order value and conversion rate: use them together to detect whether larger baskets compensate for lost purchases. AOV rising while conversion falls needs investigation, not automatic approval.
- Contribution after advertising per order and margin: use these to decide whether the rule is profitable. Review product and collection results because a higher-value cart is not necessarily a higher-profit cart.
| Measure | Act on it when |
|---|---|
| Qualification rate | Customers rarely reach the threshold. |
| Conversion rate | Orders decline after the shipping rule changes. |
| Contribution and margin | Revenue grows but profitability is uncertain. |
| Return rate and refund value | Larger baskets produce more post-purchase leakage. |
Sources
- GST (goods and services tax) (Inland Revenue (Te Tari Taake), checked 26 October 2026).
How this page was made: drafted with AI from a brief, then checked by automated rules for arithmetic, sources and duplication. The sample numbers were calculated, not reported.