Choose the measure that matches the decision

Choose the measure based on the decision you need to make. These measures answer different questions: when to place an order, how much protection to hold, how long current stock may last, and how much money is sitting in inventory.

Use the measure as a trigger, not as a complete plan. A reorder point tells you when available stock has fallen to the level at which replenishment should begin. Safety stock is the extra quantity held above expected requirements as protection against variation. Days of cover translates units into time, making it useful for comparing fast- and slow-moving accessories. Cash tied up converts inventory into a money decision using your purchase-cost basis.

For a quick check of stock exposure, use the inventory reorder calculator. Keep the measures separate: a product can have many days of cover but still tie up significant cash, while a low-cash item may need urgent attention if its reorder point has been reached.

Match the measure to the decision
MeasureWhat it answersAct when
Reorder pointWhen should replenishment start?Available stock reaches the trigger
Safety stockHow much buffer should remain?The buffer is being consumed
Days of coverHow long might current stock last?Cover is too high or too low for the plan
Cash tied upHow much purchase capital is committed?Stock exposure needs reducing or funding

Forecast from your own sales history

Start with each accessory’s completed unit sales by week or month, then choose a period that reflects current trading without letting one unusual order dominate. A simple baseline is average monthly demand: 36 units sold over three comparable months gives 12 units per month. A recent run rate may be more useful when sales are changing; 18 units across the last two months gives 9 per month. Keep the calculation at SKU level, because a bull bar and a compatible mounting kit can have different demand patterns.

Adjust the baseline before using it for a purchase decision. Separate promotion units from ordinary sales and record the incremental units rather than treating the full promotion result as normal demand. For a new accessory, use a comparable product only as an assumption and replace it with actual sales as data accumulates. If the SKU was out of stock, add an estimated lost-sales quantity based on demand immediately before and after the stockout, and mark that estimate as uncertain.

Exclude cancelled or returned units from demand that was genuinely fulfilled. For a discontinued accessory, forecast future demand at zero and handle remaining stock as a clearance decision, not replenishment demand. Keep notes for every adjustment so the next forecast can be audited against actual unit sales.

Worked example with sample numbers

This example is illustrative. It uses sample numbers for a truck accessories store selling in New Zealand. They are made up to show the method, they are not a benchmark, and your own figures will differ.

Formula: Reorder point = daily units x (lead time + safety days).

Sample numbers: a reorder point
InputValue
Units sold per day14
Supplier lead time in days25
Safety cover in days7
Reorder at14 x (25 + 7) = 448 units
Cash tied up at costNZ$32841.93

Run the same sum with your own numbers in the free calculator, or browse guides for sellers in New Zealand and more truck accessories guides.

General information only: tax, duty and import rules change and depend on your situation, so check with an accountant or the official source before acting.

Eligible Shopify stores can see these numbers for their own store through the Founding 10,000 offer.

Allow for supplier lead time and uncertainty

Supplier lead time is the time from placing an order until the stock is available to sell. For a New Zealand truck accessories store, measure it from your own purchase orders: include the wait for the supplier’s next order cycle, dispatch or production time, transport, border processing and receiving. A supplier quoting five days after dispatch does not mean five days from your decision to reorder.

The reorder point is: expected demand during lead time + safety stock. Expected demand should cover the full wait until replenishment is sellable. Safety stock is the extra quantity protecting against higher-than-usual sales, late deliveries, or both. Keep the measures separate: act on the reorder point when deciding whether to place an order; use safety stock to judge how much uncertainty your buffer must absorb.

Use actual lead-time records and demand variation rather than a generic New Zealand benchmark. If an item can only be ordered monthly, include the time until the next order window. If delivery timing varies, model the slower observed arrivals and test the effect on the trigger in the inventory reorder calculator.

Separate stock value from the cost of holding it

Stock value and holding cost answer different planning questions. Purchase-cost cash tied up tells you how much money is committed when you buy: unit cost multiplied by units on hand. Expected holding cost adds storage, insurance, financing, damage and obsolescence estimates over the time you expect to hold the SKU. Use cash tied up when checking liquidity; use holding cost when deciding whether a slow-moving item deserves its space.

Gross margin shows the economics of each sale, but it does not automatically include holding costs. Compare the product margin with the likely cost of waiting, then reduce or fix items where the return does not justify the cash committed. Keep GST treatment consistent: Inland Revenue (Te Tari Taake) states that New Zealand GST is 15%; compare ex-GST profitability where GST is recoverable, while tracking the actual cash payment separately (Source: Inland Revenue (Te Tari Taake)).

Illustrative SKU-level planning comparison
SKUUnit costUnitsCash tied upSale priceGross marginHolding estimate
Bullbar$4204$1,680$70040% ($280/unit)$18/unit; $72 total
Floor mats$9020$1,800$18050% ($90/unit)$3/unit; $60 total

Plan around New Zealand’s seasonal peaks

Seasonality changes both what sells and when stock must be ordered. Summer road trips can lift demand for roof racks, canopies, storage and recovery gear; winter weather can shift demand toward lighting, traction and protective equipment. Christmas and New Year trading, regional events, fleet purchasing cycles and harvest periods can create short, localised peaks. Check the calendar for the regions and customer types you serve, rather than applying one national uplift to every product.

Supplier closures can turn an ordinary lead time into a stockout risk. Ask suppliers for their Christmas, New Year and public-holiday shutdown dates, last order dates and first dispatch dates. Bring an order forward when the expected selling period overlaps a closure: the order needs to arrive before the peak, not merely before the supplier stops accepting orders. Add time for freight disruption and receiving, especially for imported or oversized accessories.

Compare holiday demand, weather-sensitive products, events and supplier constraints separately. That shows whether to order earlier, hold more cover, or avoid building stock for a one-off event. Use the New Zealand market guides and the inventory reorder calculator to check the timing and quantity assumptions.

Read the worked example and turn it into action

Treat the worked example as a decision check, not a target to copy. Recalculate it with the SKU’s own sales period, average demand, supplier lead time, unit cost, current sellable stock and open purchase orders. Confirm that the inputs use the same unit, one canopy, rack or recovery kit, and that returns, cancellations or one-off trade orders have not distorted the demand figure.

Then compare the result with what is physically available and when the next shipment can sell. Order when projected available stock falls below the required protection before replenishment arrives. Reduce exposure when the result is materially above likely demand, especially if the item is expensive, slow-moving or has a narrow fitment range. Investigate rather than ordering when the answer looks abnormal: check duplicated orders, missing weeks, changed product variants, supplier delays and whether stockouts suppressed recorded sales.

Run the numbers in the inventory reorder calculator, then record the decision and the assumption that drove it. Review the SKU again when its sales pattern, lead time or supplier terms change.

  • Order: demand during replenishment plus sensible protection exceeds available stock.
  • Reduce exposure: stock on hand and incoming units exceed the period’s credible demand.
  • Investigate: an input or result conflicts with what you know about the SKU.

A workable inventory plan connects unit demand, supplier timing and cash exposure at SKU level. Use the reorder point to decide when to place an order, safety stock to absorb uncertainty, and holding-cost analysis to decide whether the protection is worth the cash committed. Review the inputs after meaningful changes in sales, pricing, supplier timing or seasonality.

Sources

How this page was made: drafted with AI from a brief, then checked by automated rules for arithmetic, sources and duplication. The sample numbers were calculated, not reported.