What the Threshold Is Meant to Do

A free-shipping threshold trades one delivery subsidy for a larger basket. For illustration only, if delivery costs $9 and a customer spends $45, the order absorbs $9 before product costs, payment fees, packaging or advertising. Set free delivery at $70, and the customer may add another product to qualify. The trade only works if the added gross profit is greater than the extra delivery cost and any discount used to reach the threshold.

The amount shown to shoppers is a customer-facing rule: “Free delivery on orders over $70.” It should be simple, clear and applied consistently. The internal decision is different. It asks whether delivered orders at that threshold leave enough contribution after product cost, delivery, payment fees, returns and advertising. A threshold can lift average order value while still weakening profit if customers buy low-margin items or if refunds are common.

Use the product pricing calculator to test the arithmetic before publishing a rule. ORVX can then show realized revenue from delivered orders, product and collection profitability, return rates and contribution after advertising. Those measures reveal whether the threshold is supporting profitable orders, rather than merely increasing checkout totals.

The customer rule and the internal decision answer different questions
MeasureWhat it is forWhen to act on it
Free-shipping thresholdSets the order value at which the customer receives delivery at no added chargeWhen communicating delivery terms or testing basket-building behaviour
Contribution after delivery and advertisingShows what the order contributes after the costs required to acquire and deliver itWhen deciding whether the threshold is economically sustainable

Finding the Lowest Safe Threshold

Use a consistent basis first: calculate the threshold from prices excluding GST, then convert it to the customer-facing price if required. GST in New Zealand is charged at a rate of 15% (Inland Revenue (Te Tari Taake), GST). The minimum order value is: (shipping cost + variable fulfilment cost) ÷ product margin. If delivery costs $9, fulfilment costs $3 and the product margin is 50%, the threshold is $12 ÷ 0.50 = $24 excluding GST, or $27.60 including GST where GST applies (Source: Inland Revenue (Te Tari Taake)).

  • Use delivered

Worked example with sample numbers

This example is illustrative. It uses sample numbers for a car care products store selling in New Zealand. They are made up to show the method, they are not a benchmark, and your own figures will differ.

Formula: Lowest safe basket = (delivery + packing + fixed fee) / (gross margin rate - percentage fee - minimum margin you will accept).

Sample numbers: free delivery at different basket sizes
Basket without taxMargin before deliveryAfter absorbing deliveryShare of basket
NZ$88.04NZ$36.46NZ$20.0722.8%
NZ$117.38NZ$48.77NZ$32.3927.6%
NZ$176.07NZ$73.40NZ$57.0132.4%
NZ$234.77NZ$98.03NZ$81.6434.8%

Run the same sum with your own numbers in the free calculator, or browse guides for sellers in New Zealand and more car care products guides.

General information only: tax, duty and import rules change and depend on your situation, so check with an accountant or the official source before acting.

Eligible Shopify stores can see these numbers for their own store through the Founding 10,000 offer.

Compare the Costing Methods Before You Set a Rule

An order-value method sets free shipping when the cart subtotal reaches a fixed amount. It is easy to explain and administer, and suits a car care store where parcels have similar delivery costs and product margins are reasonably consistent. Its weakness is that two carts with the same value can leave very different amounts after product cost, shipping and other variable costs. A high-value cart made mostly of low-margin items may receive an unsafe subsidy.

A contribution-margin method asks how much the basket contributes after relevant variable costs, then checks whether the shipping subsidy still leaves an acceptable amount. For illustration only, a basket contributing $28 before a $10 shipping subsidy retains $18; a value-only rule would not show that difference. This measure is appropriate when margins vary widely, advertising costs matter, or repeat and returned orders affect the economics. Use delivered-order results rather than treating cancelled or returned sales as realised revenue. ORVX product and collection profitability reports can show gross profit, net profit and contribution after advertising by product and collection.

A product-category method applies different rules to different groups: for example, a category with bulky packaging, low margin or unusually high freight may require a higher threshold or remain excluded, while compact, higher-margin products use a lower one. This is appropriate when shipping cost and profitability are driven more by the items than by cart value. It requires clearer customer-facing rules and regular checks as the product mix changes. The free pricing calculator can help test the arithmetic, while New Zealand seller guides provide related local context.

Choose the costing basis that matches the main source of variation
MethodMost appropriate whenMain risk
Order valueShipping cost and margins are broadly consistentHigh-value, low-margin carts can consume the subsidy
Contribution marginVariable costs and profitability differ materiallyRequires reliable cost and advertising data
Product categoryFreight or margin differs sharply by item groupRules are more complex to explain and maintain

Items That Lift the Basket

The most useful basket lifts are products that solve the same maintenance job. Pair a wash kit with drying towels, a polish with applicator pads, or an interior cleaner with brushes. Compatibility matters: a refill, accessory or replacement part should match the product already in the cart. Do not use free shipping to push an unrelated item that creates choice friction or a return risk.

Replenishable products can lift an order without feeling forced. Buyers who add shampoo, tyre dressing or glass cleaner may have a clear reason to buy again, while a bundle can make the combination easier to choose. Set bundle contents around a real use case, then compare the bundle’s margin with the separate products. A bundle that reaches the threshold but removes too much gross profit is not a safe basket-building tactic.

Use the gap to the threshold as a merchandising filter. If the cart is $8 short, an appropriate $10-$15 add-on is more useful than a $40 item that changes the purchase decision. Show options in a few price bands, but check product-level profitability, returns and contribution after advertising rather than judging by revenue alone. ORVX reports those measures by product and collection, helping you identify which add-ons actually support the economics. For pricing scenarios, use the free product pricing calculator, and review further category context in the car care products guides.

What a threshold is meant to do

A free-shipping threshold should change buying behaviour without weakening order economics. The useful question is not whether average order value rises, but whether the extra product margin covers the delivery cost you absorb. For illustration only, if a customer normally buys $60 and pays $8 shipping, moving the threshold to $80 only helps if the additional $20 produces enough gross profit to offset the free-delivery cost. At a 50% product margin, that adds $10 before other costs, leaving $2 before advertising and returns.

Track three measures separately: threshold uptake shows whether customers are reaching the rule; average order value shows whether baskets are growing; contribution after shipping shows whether the change is financially worthwhile. A high uptake rate with weak contribution means customers are qualifying with low-margin products. A higher threshold with little uptake may simply increase abandonment rather than basket size.

Use delivered-order results when reviewing the rule, because cancelled and returned orders do not represent completed sales. Product mix also matters: a threshold can look healthy overall while losing money on bulky, low-margin items. ORVX can show product- and collection-level profitability, return rates and contribution after advertising, helping you decide whether to keep, reduce, fix the economics or test the threshold. For an initial scenario, compare possible prices in the product pricing calculator.

Sources

How this page was made: drafted with AI from a brief, then checked by automated rules for arithmetic, sources and duplication. The sample numbers were calculated, not reported.